Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.001338 0.001497 0.001656 0.001827 0.002004 0.002182 0.002374
2025-10-12 0.001097 0.001328 0.001566 0.001827 0.002104 0.002388 0.002699
2025-10-19 0.000887 0.001169 0.001468 0.001804 0.002166 0.002543 0.002961
2025-10-26 0.000715 0.001034 0.001383 0.001783 0.002222 0.002684 0.003204
2025-11-02 0.000571 0.000917 0.001306 0.001763 0.002272 0.002815 0.003429
2025-11-09 0.000456 0.000821 0.001246 0.001753 0.002328 0.002946 0.003651
2025-11-16 0.000364 0.000742 0.001198 0.001753 0.002389 0.003080 0.003874
2025-11-23 0.000287 0.000673 0.001155 0.001755 0.002450 0.003209 0.004087
2025-11-30 0.000249 0.000652 0.001168 0.001818 0.002577 0.003411 0.004379
2025-12-07 0.000188 0.000589 0.001125 0.001812 0.002623 0.003520 0.004566
2025-12-14 0.000126 0.000513 0.001059 0.001775 0.002630 0.003583 0.004699
2025-12-21 0.000093 0.000478 0.001044 0.001797 0.002703 0.003719 0.004912
2025-12-28 0.000046 0.000412 0.000998 0.001797 0.002773 0.003875 0.005176
2026-01-04 0.000014 0.000355 0.000960 0.001808 0.002856 0.004048 0.005462
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000290 0.000903 0.001792 0.002906 0.004183 0.005706
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000231 0.000848 0.001775 0.002953 0.004314 0.005945
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000179 0.000797 0.001758 0.002998 0.004441 0.006178
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000137 0.000754 0.001750 0.003052 0.004577 0.006420
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000104 0.000719 0.001751 0.003115 0.004722 0.006671
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000076 0.000688 0.001753 0.003178 0.004866 0.006919
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000068 0.000699 0.001816 0.003317 0.005099 0.007269
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000045 0.000665 0.001811 0.003368 0.005226 0.007495
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000020 0.000611 0.001774 0.003376 0.005301 0.007660